Hoping It Isn't So Bad

1 January 2025

 

Cogito Ergo Non Serviam

Predictions for 2025

It is time to forecast the events of the next 12 months. This journal makes 11 predictions every year and having gone 6-5 last year, one hopes for a much better result this time. This is something of a challenge as the world is growing most unstable and is, therefore, less amenable to rational analysis. Be that as time may, here is what 2025 has in store:

  • The AfD will be the largest party in the German Bundestag after the February 23 election there.

  • Canada will have a conservative government by year end

  • Mike Johnson will be Speaker of the House for the next Congress (he might even survive the whole year but that is not part of the prediction)

  • Inflation will be higher at the end of 2025 than it is now (currently at 2.6%)

  • Eric Adams will lose the Democratic nomination for Mayor of New York City

  • The US Federal Reserve will not cut rates more than 3 times in 2025.

  • Benjamin Netanyahu will still be Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2025

  • Gold will break above US$3000 per ounce

  • It will take more than one ballot in the House to raise, waive or abolish the debt ceiling

  • 2025 National League Play-offs will be between the New York Mets and the LA Dodgers

  • There will not be a signed and in force peace treaty between Russia and Ukraine before December 31, 2025.

As bad as 2024 was, 2025 promises to be as bad or worse. One should buckle up for a bumpy ride.

© Copyright 2025 by The Kensington Review, Jeff Myhre, PhD, Editor. No part of this publication may be reproduced without written consent. Produced using Ubuntu Linux.



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